Arab futures:Three Scenarios for 2025
Eduard Soler i Lecha, research coordinator at CIDOB, is one of the contributors of the latest report of the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS). The report, entitled “Arab futures three scenarios for 2025” has been coordinated by Florence Gaub and Alexandra Laban.
Eduard Soler i Lecha, research coordinator at CIDOB, is one of the contributors of the latest report of the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS). The report, entitled “Arab futures three scenarios for 2025” has been coordinated by Florence Gaub and Alexandra Laban. The report is the outcome of three sessions that convened a group of experts, the Arab Foresight Group, during 2014. It reduces speculation to a bare minimum, and identifies the relative certainties or 'megatrends' which concern the Middle East region and which are not likely to change over the next decade; perhaps more importantly, it also identifies six game-changers: those areas where policy-makers will influence the course of events by their choices. Depending on these choices, three probable scenarios have been hypothesised for the year 2025.