Dossier CIDOB: Brexit Scenarios and Perspectives

Dossier CIDOB: Brexit Scenarios and Perspectives

Publication date:
06/2016
Author:
Pol Morillas, Héctor Sánchez, Mireia Faro, Esther Masclans and Cristina Serrano, CIDOB

On 23 June, British citizens are called upon to decide whether the UK should remain in the European Union or should become the first Member State leaving the European project voluntarily. 

CIDOB publishes this Dossier in order to understand the dynamics of this referendum and its consequences for the future of Europe. It will be updated progressively until the voting day, analysing the referendum’s prospects and the key issues of the Leave and Remain campaigns.  

It also forecasts three future scenarios that could occur after the Brexit referendum, which, in any case, will lead to a new relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union. CIDOB looks at the implications of three possible outcomes of the referendum: “Bremain”, where the UK remains in the EU; “Soft Brexit”, where the UK leaves the EU after reaching an agreement; and “harsh Brexit”, where the UK leaves the EU abruptly.  

Before long, a series of expert voices from the academic, economic and social background will offer their views on the importance of the referendum and its implications for the European integration project.

Last update: July 15, 2016

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