Scenarios of a new UK-EU relationship

Workshop on the future prospects of UK’s membership (or not) in the EU after the referendum

PERFORMED ACTIVITY
20 May 2016 - 09:15h
LOCATION: CIDOB, sala Jordi Maragall, Elisabets 12, 08001 Barcelona
ORGANIZED BY: CIDOB and LSE Europp with the support of the Europe for Citizens programme

COLLABORATORS (1):

PARTNERS:

Objective

The aim of this workshop is to analyse the scenarios of the British referendum on the EU membership that will take place on 23 June 2016. The workshop will discuss the negotiations of the British government with the EU, the campaign of the referendum, the internal developments in the UK and the EU and will present the scenarios that might prevail after the referendum is held. 

The three scenarios foreseen will be: 

  1. Bremain: The UK stays in the EU
  2. A “soft” Brexit
  3. A “harsh” Brexit 

For each of the scenarios, paper presenters and participants will analyse the prospects of each scenario, the effects of the negotiations on the referendum campaign and the UK-EU relationship after the referendum. The papers will also present the economic, political, social and geopolitical effects of each scenario, attempting to devise the new UK-EU relationship if they materialise. The workshop will pay particular attention to the political dynamics in the EU following the Brexit referendum, the relationship between the Member States and the effects for the European project, as well as for the future of the UK. 

 

Files

Participants

SPEAKERS

Jordi Bacaria

Jordi Bacaria

Director, CIDOB

Berta Barbet

Berta Barbet

PhD, University of Leicester; associate lecturer, University of Barcelona

Iain Begg

Iain Begg

Professorial Research Fellow, LSE

Graham Bishop

Graham Bishop

Consultant on European integration

Stuart A. Brown

Stuart A. Brown

Managing Editor, LSE EUROPP – European Politics and Policy European Institute

Swati Dhingra

Swati Dhingra

Lecturer in Economics, LSE

Andrew Duff

Andrew Duff

Visiting Fellow, European Policy Centre; former Member of the European Parliament

Sunder Katwala

Sunder Katwala

Director, British Future

Pol Morillas

Pol Morillas

Research Fellow in European Affairs, CIDOB

Tim Oliver

Tim Oliver

Dahrendorf Fellow for Europe-North American relations, LSE IDEAS

Tena Prelec

Tena Prelec

Editor, LSE EUROPP – European Politics and Policy European Institute; Doctoral Researcher, School of Law, Politics and Sociology, University of Sussex

Thomas Raines

Thomas Raines

Research Fellow and Programme Manager, Europe Programme, Chatham House

Simon Usherwood

Simon Usherwood

Senior Lecturer, University of Surrey

Richard Whitman

Richard Whitman

Professor of Politics and International Relations and Director of the Global Europe Centre, University of Kent

Scenarios of a new UK-EU relationship PERFORMED ACTIVITY

09:15h Welcome remarks

09:30h Scenario 1: The UK stays in the EU

Chair:   Jordi Bacaria, Director, CIDOB

 

Paper Presenters:

Stuart A. Brown, Managing Editor, LSE EUROPP – European Politics and Policy European Institute

Tena Prelec, Editor, LSE EUROPP – European Politics and Policy European Institute; Doctoral Researcher, School of Law, Politics and Sociology, University of Sussex                        

 

Discussant:

Graham Bishop, Consultant on European integration

Thomas Raines, Research Fellow and Programme Manager, Europe Programme, Chatham House 

11:00h Coffee Break

11:30h Scenario 2: A soft Brexit

 

Chair:   Tena Prelec, Editor, LSE EUROPP – European Politics and Policy European Institute; Doctoral Researcher, School of Law, Politics and Sociology, University of Sussex

 

Paper Presenter:

Swati Dhingra, Lecturer in Economics, LSE

                                               

Discussants:

Andrew Duff, Visiting Fellow, European Policy Centre; former Member of the European Parliament

Simon Usherwood, Senior Lecturer, University of Surrey 

Berta Barbet, PhD, University of Leicester; associate lecturer, University of Barcelona

 

13:00h Lunch

14:00h Session 3: A harsh Brexit

 

Chair:   Pol Morillas, Research Fellow in European Affairs, CIDOB

 

Paper Presenter:

Tim Oliver, Dahrendorf Fellow for Europe-North American relations, LSE IDEAS

 

Discussants:

Iain Begg, Professorial Research Fellow, LSE

Richard Whitman, Professor of Politics and International Relations and Director of the Global Europe Centre, University of Kent

Sunder Katwala, Director, British Future

 

15:30h Conclusions and ways forward

16:00h End of the workshop