Elections Shaping the Future of Europe: Catastrophe Avoided, Challenge Accepted

Contrary to the initial fears, the most catastrophic scenario on the disintegration of the EU has been avoided. The challenge of reforming the Union, however, lies ahead.

PERFORMED ACTIVITY
10 November 2017 - 09:00h
LOCATION: Sala Jordi Maragall, CIDOB, Carrer Elisabets, 12, 08001 Barcelona
ORGANIZED BY: CIDOB with the support of the Secretariat for Foreign and European Union Affairs of the Generalitat de Catalunya and the Europe for Citizens programme

PARTNERS:

Objective

The year 2017 has been decisive for the European project. After the UK becoming the first country that voluntarily decided to leave the European Union, in 2017 four key member states –the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom and Germany- will have held elections just after celebrating the 60th anniversary of the Treaty of Rome.  

In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders, carrying a Europhobic and anti-Islam message, threatened to bring the “international populist alliance” to his country, after the victories of Trump and Brexit. In France, Marine Le Pen promised to reintroduce the national currency and a referendum on France's membership to the EU. The proposals of Le Pen and Wilders were both defeated in the polls and, with Macron’s victory, a pro-European antidote has emerged.  

In June, Theresa May held early elections to take advantage of the alleged Labour's weakness and obtain a large majority in the parliament legitimising her hard Brexit. It did not work and, since then, the Brexitmandate is less clear. Finally, in Germany, the re-election of Merkel will set the scene for the reform of the EU and the re-establishment of the Franco-German axis. The only uncertainty is coming from the role that her probable allies of the potential Jamaican coalition will play.  

This seminar will analyse the extent to which these elections have shaped the European agenda and their impact for the future of the EU. Contrary to the initial fears, the most catastrophic scenario on the disintegration of the EU has been avoided. The challenge of reforming the Union, however, lies ahead.

Files

Participants

SPEAKERS

Jordi Bacaria

Jordi Bacaria

Director, CIDOB

Carme Colomina

Carme Colomina

Journalist, ARA Newspaper; Associate Researcher, CIDOB

Susi Dennison

Susi Dennison

Director of European Power programme, ECFR

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska

Research Fellow, CER

Dídac Gutiérrez-Peris

Dídac Gutiérrez-Peris

EU Research Director, Viavoice Paris; Associate Researcher, CIDOB

Stefan Lehne

Stefan Lehne

Visiting Scholar, Carnegie Europe

Pol Morillas

Pol Morillas

Research Fellow, CIDOB

Beatriz Navarro

Beatriz Navarro

Brussels Correspondent, La Vanguardia

Tim Oliver

Tim Oliver

Dahrendorf Fellow, LSE Ideas

Adriaan Schout

Adriaan Schout

Senior Research Fellow, Clingendael

Nina Schick

Nina Schick

Independent analyst

Antoni Segura i Mas

Antoni Segura i Mas

President, CIDOB

Eckart Woertz

Eckart Woertz

Senior Research Fellow, CIDOB

Elections Shaping the Future of Europe: Catastrophe Avoided, Challenge Accepted PERFORMED ACTIVITY

09:00h Registration

09:15h Welcoming remarks

Antoni Segura,President, CIDOB

09:30h Elections in Europe: measuring the mood of the continent?

The first panel will analyse the elections that have taken place in 2017 and the presence of European discussions in each of them, measuring the degree of discontent with the EU and the emergence of alternative pro-European discourses. 

Adriaan Schout, Senior Research Fellow, Clingendael

Eckart Woertz, Senior Research Fellow, CIDOB

Dídac Gutiérrez-Peris, EU Research Director, Viavoice Paris; Associate Researcher, CIDOB

Moderated by: Pol Morillas,  Research Fellow in European Affairs, CIDOB

11:15h Coffee break

11:45h How have the UK elections affected Brexit and what impact for the future relations with the EU?

The second session will elaborate on the effects of Brexit and the impact of the UK general election in the negotiations with the EU.
It will also analyse the prospects for a win-win agreement that benefits both bilateral relations and the reform of the EU.

Tim Oliver, Dahrendorf Fellow, LSE Ideas

Susi Dennison, Director of European Power programme, ECFR

Nina Schick, independent analyst

Moderated by: Carme Colomina, Journalist, ARA Newspaper; Associate Researcher, CIDOB

 

13:30h Lunch

14:30h The reform of the EU

Once national landscapes have been reconfigured, it is time for the EU to think ahead.The last panel will analyse the shapes of EU reform,
taking into account the debates started in Bratislava on the future of the EU and Juncker's White Paper

Pol Morillas, Research Fellow, CIDOB

Stefan Lehne, Visiting Scholar, Carnegie Europe

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, Research Fellow, CER

Moderated by: Beatriz Navarro, Brussels Correspondent, La Vanguardia

16:15h Concluding remarks

Jordi Bacaria,director, CIDOB